In the model, the concentration of DO is generated based on
temperature, depth and salinity
(Appendix A.3.4). Thus, we need to
ensure that under similar temperature and salinity inputs to both
systems, and with similar quantities of clam and background prey
biomass, DO behaves similarly in the two systems. Validation of the
DO, clam and background prey models was done iteratively since these
models depend on each other. The particular behaviors focused on for
validation include: seasonal component to DO variation; lower DOs in
summer ranging from 0 to 8 and 0 to 12 (mg/L) in the winter; percent
of estuary experiencing hypoxia at any time should be within
0% to
50% during July through October, depending on the
year; the length of time areas of moderate depth remain continuously
hypoxic should last anywhere from one day to two weeks.
The duration, extent and seasonal fluctuations in hypoxia agreed with
those reported for the Neuse (Selberg et al. 2001, Table 3) (Buzzelli et al. 2002, Table 2).
Shallow portions of the model estuary (depth
2 m) were never
hypoxic and the median time the deepest areas remained hypoxic was
9 days (Fig. B1). The empirically
measured durations of hypoxia at stations LT9 and LT11 in the Neuse
over years 1989 to 1999 are given in
Fig. B2. However, the large amount
of missing data in these time series biases the durations, making them
appear shorter than they actually are. We conclude that the ranges
displayed in both Figs. B1 and B2 are in general agreement.
The maximum percentage of the estuary hypoxic at any given time during
summer ranged between 40% and 60%
(Fig. B3), agreeing with empirical
measurements. For the model estuary, DO in summer ranged from 0 to 8
and 0 to 12 (mg/L) in the winter and mirrored changes in temperature.