Appendix E. Summary of parameter estimates, negative log-likelihood score and Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC) for dispersal kernels fit to the simulated seed dispersal curve for each source tree.
Kernel
Parameter 1
Parameter 2
-L
AIC
Source tree 3
Exponential
0.01
NA
26985
53972
Gaussian
106.51
200.05
31981
63966
Lognormal
3.06
1.87
24321
48646
2Dt
0.26
12.37
23980
47964
Cauchy
5.83
4.45
27175
54354
Weibull
0.54
56.50
24785
49574
Source tree 4
Exponential
0.01
NA
1196
2394
Gaussian
112.31
201.08
1405
2814
Lognormal
3.13
1.86
1080
2164
2Dt
0.26
14.23
1061
2126
Cauchy
5.71
4.51
1206
2416
Weibull
0.54
60.10
1101
2206
Source tree 5
Exponential
0.01
NA
12226
24454
Gaussian
141.51
233.20
14113
28230
Lognormal
3.26
2.09
11134
22272
2Dt
0.21
7.87
11096
22196
Cauchy
5.03
7.07
12931
25866
Weibull
0.52
75.35
11236
22476
Source tree 6
Exponential
0.01
NA
2204
4410
Gaussian
110.85
221.55
2632
5268
Lognormal
3.01
1.99
1974
3952
2Dt
0.22
5.72
1967
3938
Cauchy
4.96
8.82
2288
4580
Weibull
0.52
55.97
2003
4010
Source tree 7
Exponential
0.01
NA
14525
29052
Gaussian
142.65
242.86
16843
33690
Lognormal
3.48
1.92
13520
27044
2Dt
0.22
14.06
13549
27102
Cauchy
15.86
35.19
15569
31142
Weibull
0.56
85.07
13634
27272
Source tree 8
Exponential
0.01
NA
1780
3562
Gaussian
185.64
267.02
2004
4012
Lognormal
3.58
2.29
1667
3338
2Dt
0.16
3.59
1690
3384
Cauchy
62.86
96.37
1945
3894
Weibull
0.53
109.16
1662
3328
Source tree 11
Exponential
0.01
NA
72930
145862
Gaussian
149.96
244.48
83945
167894
Lognormal
3.55
1.90
68065
136134
2Dt
0.23
20.96
68360
136724
Cauchy
11.29
19.52
77394
154792
Weibull
0.57
90.47
68650
137304
Source tree 12
Exponential
0.01
NA
2208
4418
Gaussian
150.88
220.28
2501
5006
Lognormal
3.62
2.06
2112
4228
2Dt
0.18
7.38
2155
4314
Cauchy
49.31
76.82
2417
4838
Weibull
0.59
100.42
2104
4212
Source tree 13
Exponential
0.01
NA
13679
27360
Gaussian
175.49
258.86
15471
30946
Lognormal
3.66
2.19
13002
26008
2Dt
0.16
4.04
13311
26626
Cauchy
67.99
81.90
14769
29542
Weibull
0.56
110.75
12926
25856
Source tree 16
Exponential
0.01
NA
13474
26950
Gaussian
180.41
263.23
15208
30420
Lognormal
3.82
2.05
12949
25902
2Dt
0.17
7.93
13294
26592
Cauchy
53.71
74.69
14538
29080
Weibull
0.59
121.23
12880
25764
Source tree 17
Exponential
0.01
NA
11543
23088
Gaussian
174.05
232.49
12871
25746
Lognormal
4.05
1.83
11379
22762
2Dt
0.20
28.51
11744
23492
Cauchy
90.44
80.60
12395
24794
Weibull
0.68
135.86
11283
22570
Source tree 19
Exponential
0.005
NA
14724
29450
Gaussian
215.805
290.679
16380
32764
Lognormal
4.207
1.821
14378
28760
2Dt
0.23
90.33
14782
29568
Cauchy
64.569
90.097
15888
31780
Weibull
0.656
160.703
14324
28652
All seeds
Exponential
0.01
NA
191929
383860
Gaussian
150.43
238.13
219991
439986
Lognormal
3.56
1.96
180254
360512
2Dt
0.21
14.14
181958
363920
Cauchy
14.58
31.77
206888
413780
Weibull
0.57
92.75
181105
362214
Notes: Summary of parameter estimates, negative log-likelihood score (-L), and Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC) for dispersal kernels fit to the simulated seed dispersal curve for each source tree with > 200 seeds and for all seeds from all 19 source trees. Source tree numbers correspond to those in Appendix A. Dispersal kernels for all seeds are plotted in Fig. 5a. Boldface indicates the kernel with the lowest AIC; however, the 8-parameter mixture distribution always had a lower AIC than best-fitting single-distribution dispersal kernel (Appendix F). Parameters one and two (respectively) for each kernel are: exponential, ; Gaussian, and ; Lognormal, and ; 2Dt, p and s; Cauchy, and s; Weibull, p and s (Appendix C).