M. V. Eitzel, J. Battles, R. York, and P. de Valpine. 2015. Canít see the trees for the forest: complex factors influence tree survival in a temperate second growth forest. Ecosphere 6:247. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/es15-00105.1


Appendix A: Plot basal area and water deficit analysis, and summary statistics on explanatory variables.
Ecological Archives C006-091-A1.

Appendix B: Estimating missing sizes.
Ecological Archives C006-091-A2.

Appendix C: Additional model details.
Ecological Archives C006-091-A3.

Appendix D: Simple mortality calculations (m) to validate simple state-space models.
Ecological Archives C006-091-A4.

Appendix E: Explanation of posterior tail probability and parameter estimates for all models for all species.
Ecological Archives C006-091-A5.

Appendix F: Plot standard deviation model selection and posteriors.
Ecological Archives C006-091-A6.

Appendix G: Additional figures for significant variables on probability scale.
Ecological Archives C006-091-A7.


Supplement 1: Example BUGS model file, BUGS-formatted data for Douglas-fir, and initial values for model.
Ecological Archives C006-091-S1.