Ecological Archives E096-085-A3

J. Balbontín and A. P. Mřller. 2015. Environmental conditions during early life accelerate the rate of senescence in a short-lived passerine bird. Ecology 96:948–959. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/14-1274.1

Appendix C. List of top models for the effect early life environmental conditions on the annual number of eggs and the annual number of fledglings produced during senescence in barn swallows in Denmark.

Table C1. List of top models for the annual number of eggs produced in relation with early life environmental condition on senescent (i.e. ≥ 4 years of age) barn swallows in Denmark. 128 models form the full set of models performed. 16 models were selected within Delta AICc < 6.0. CS is colony size (i.e. the number of breeding pairs in a given breeding site). Cats are the number of cats at breeding sites the year when swallows were one year old. ALR is age at last reproduction.

Candidate models

df

AICc

Delta

Weights

Age+Cats+CS+Age*CS+Cats*CS

9

266.03

0.00

0.23

Age+Cats+CS+Cats*CS

8

266.66

0.62

0.17

Age+Cats+CS+ALR+Age*CS+Cats*CS

10

266.81

0.77

0.15

Age+Cats+CS+ALR+Cats*CS

9

268.08

2.05

0.08

Age+Cats+CS+Age*Cats+Cats*CS

9

268.28

2.25

0.07

Age+Cats+CS+Age*Cats+Age*CS+Cats*CS

10

268.96

2.92

0.05

Age+CS

6

269.60

3.56

0.04

Age+Cats+CS+ALR+Age*Cats+Cats*CS

10

269.63

3.60

0.04

Age+CS+Age*CS

7

269.71

3.68

0.04

Age+Cats+CS+ALR+Age*Cats+Age*CS+Cats*CS

11

269.85

3.82

0.03

Age+Cats+CS+Age*Cats

8

270.30

4.27

0.03

Age+CS+ALR+Age*CS

8

270.91

4.88

0.02

Age+CS+ALR

7

271.59

5.56

0.01

Age+Cats+CS+Age*CS

8

271.72

5.69

0.01

Age+Cats+CS

7

271.84

5.81

0.01

Age+Cats+CS+ALR+Age*Cats

9

271.92

5.89

0.01

 

Table C2. Estimated variance of random terms of mixed-effects models performed without covariates for the effects of early life environmental conditions on the no. of eggs produced annually for old barn swallows (i.e., age ≥ 4 years of age) from Denmark. Number of observations was 58 taken from 44 different individuals in 11 breeding sites. The variance due to year was negligible.

Groups

Name

Variance

SD

Individual

Intercept

1.19065

1.09117

Breeding site

Intercept

0.77639

0.88113

Residual

 

5.50173

2.34558

 

Table C3. List of top models for the annual number of fledglings produced in relation with early life environmental condition on senescent (i.e. ≥ 4 years of age) barn swallows from Denmark. 256 models form the full set of models performed. 31 models were selected within Delta AICc < 6.0. CS is colony size (i.e. the number of breeding pairs in a given breeding site). Cats are the number of cats at breeding sites the year when swallows were one year old. ALR is age at last reproduction.

Candidate models

df

AICc

Delta

Weights

Age+CS+Age*CS

7

614.05

0.00

0.15

Sex+Age+ CS+Age*CS

8

614.40

0.35

0.13

Age+ CS

6

616.08

2.03

0.06

Age+ CS+ALR+Age*CS

8

616.20

2.15

0.05

Age+ Cats+CS+Age*CS

8

616.31

2.26

0.05

Age+ Cats+CS+Age*CS

8

616.61

2.56

0.04

Sex+Age+ CS+ALR+Age*CS

9

616.63

2.58

0.04

Sex+Age+Cats+ CS+Age*CS

9

616.69

2.64

0.04

Sex+Age+CS

7

616.71

2.66

0.04

Age+Cats+CS+Age*CS+Cats*CS

9

616.99

2.94

0.04

Sex+Age+Cats+ CS+Age*Cats

9

617.04

2.99

0.03

Age+Cats+ CS+Age*Cats+Cats*CS

9

617.48

3.43

0.03

Age+Cats+ CS+Cats*CS

8

617.72

3.67

0.02

Sex+Age+Cats+CS+Age*CS+Cats*CS

10

617.89

3.84

0.02

Age+Cats+ CS+Age*Cats+Age*CS

9

617.90

3.85

0.02

Age+CS+ALR

7

617.96

3.91

0.02

Age+Cats+CS

7

618.24

4.19

0.02

Sex+Age+Cats+CS+Age*Cats+Age*CS

10

618.29

4.24

0.02

Sex+Age+Cats+CS+Age*Cats+Cats*CS

10

618.41

4.36

0.02

Age+Cats+CS+ALR+Age*CS

9

618.49

4.44

0.02

Sex+Age+ CS+ALR

8

618.72

4.67

0.01

Age+ Cats+CS+ALR+Age*Cats

9

618.79

4.74

0.01

Sex+Age+Cats+CS

8

618.87

4.82

0.01

Age+Cats+CS+Age*Cats+Age*CS+Cats*CS

10

618.92

4.87

0.01

Sex+Age+Cats+CS+Cats*CS

9

618.93

4.88

0.01

Sex+Age+Cats+CS+ALR+Age*CS

10

618.96

4.91

0.01

Age+Cats+CS+ALR+Age*CS+Cats*CS

10

619.24

5.19

0.01

Sex+Age+Cats+CS+ALR+Age*Cats

10

619.31

5.26

0.01

Age+Cats+CS+ALR+Age*Cats+Cats*CS

10

619.73

5.68

0.01

Age+Cats+CS+ALR+Cats*CS

9

619.79

5.74

0.01

Sex+Age+Cats+CS+Age*Cats+Age*Cs+Cats*CS

11

619.81

5.76

0.01

 

Table C4. Estimated variance of random terms of mixed-effects models performed without covariates for the effects of early life environmental conditions on the no. of fledglings produced annually for old barn swallows (i.e., age ≥ 4 years of age) from Denmark. Number of observations was 136 taken from 96 different individuals in 15 breeding sites. The variance due to year was negligible.

Groups

Name

Variance

SD

Individual

Intercept

3.2824

1.8117

Breeding site

Intercept

1.1842

1.0882

Residual

 

3.5678

1.8889

 


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