Ecological Archives E096-085-A1
J. Balbontín and A. P. Mřller. 2015. Environmental conditions during early life accelerate the rate of senescence in a short-lived passerine bird. Ecology 96:948–959. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/14-1274.1
Appendix A. List of top models for the effect of early life environmental conditions on adult survival in barn swallows in Denmark.
Table A1. List of top models for the probability to survive related to early life environmental conditions of barn swallows from Denmark.
Candidate models |
df |
AICc |
Delta |
Weight |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Cats*CS |
10 |
4768.28 |
0.00 |
0.13 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*Age+Cats*CS |
11 |
4769.74 |
1.46 |
0.06 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Age*Cats+Cats*CS |
11 |
4769.74 |
1.46 |
0.06 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*CS+Cats*CS |
11 |
4770.13 |
1.85 |
0.05 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Age*CS+Cats*CS |
11 |
4770.23 |
1.96 |
0.05 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*Cats+Cats*CS |
11 |
4770.28 |
2.00 |
0.05 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats |
8 |
4770.97 |
2.69 |
0.03 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS |
9 |
4771.11 |
2.83 |
0.03 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*Age+Age*Cats+Cats*CS |
12 |
4771.25 |
2.98 |
0.03 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*Age+Age*Cats+Age*CS+Cats*CS |
12 |
4771.54 |
3.26 |
0.03 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*CS+Age*Cats+Cats*CS |
12 |
4771.59 |
3.32 |
0.03 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*Age+Sex*CS+Cats*CS |
12 |
4771.64 |
3.36 |
0.02 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*Age+Age*CS+Cats*CS |
12 |
4771.70 |
3.42 |
0.02 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*Cats+Age*Cats+Cats*CS |
12 |
4771.73 |
3.46 |
0.02 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*Age+Sex*Cats+Cats*CS |
12 |
4771.74 |
3.46 |
0.02 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*CS+Age*CS+Cats*CS |
12 |
4772.07 |
3.79 |
0.02 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*Cats+Sex*CS+Cats*CS |
12 |
4772.12 |
3.84 |
0.02 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*Cats+Age*CS+Cats*CS |
12 |
4772.24 |
3.96 |
0.02 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+Age*Cats |
9 |
4772.27 |
4.00 |
0.02 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+Sex*Age |
9 |
4772.39 |
4.11 |
0.02 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Age*Cats |
10 |
4772.53 |
4.26 |
0.02 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*Age |
10 |
4772.55 |
4.27 |
0.02 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Age*CS |
10 |
4772.93 |
4.65 |
0.01 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*CS |
10 |
4772.97 |
4.69 |
0.01 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+Sex*Cats |
9 |
4772.97 |
4.69 |
0.01 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*Age+Age*Cats+Age*CS+Cats*CS |
13 |
4773.06 |
4.79 |
0.01 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*Cats |
10 |
4773.12 |
4.84 |
0.01 |
Sex+Age+Age2 |
7 |
4773.14 |
4.86 |
0.01 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*Age+ Sex*CS+Age*Cats+Cats*CS |
13 |
4773.15 |
4.88 |
0.01 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*Age+Sex*Cats+Age*Cats+Cats*CS |
13 |
4773.24 |
4.96 |
0.01 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*CS+Age*Cats+age*CS+Cats*CS |
13 |
4773.37 |
5.09 |
0.01 |
Sex+Age+Age2+CS |
8 |
4773.39 |
5.11 |
0.01 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*Cats+Age*Cats+age*CS+Cats*CS |
13 |
4773.53 |
5.25 |
0.01 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*Cats+Age*Cats+Sex*CS+Cats*CS |
13 |
4773.56 |
5.29 |
0.01 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+sex*Age+Sex*CS+ age*CS+Cats*CS |
13 |
4773.59 |
5.31 |
0.01 |
Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Cats*CS |
9 |
4773.60 |
5.33 |
0.01 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*Age+Sex*Cats+Sex*CS+Cats*CS |
13 |
4773.63 |
5.35 |
0.01 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*Age+Sex*Cats+Age*CS+Cats*CS |
13 |
4773.70 |
5.42 |
0.01 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+Sex*Age+age*Cats |
10 |
4773.76 |
5.48 |
0.01 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*Age+age*Cats |
11 |
4774.03 |
5.75 |
0.01 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Sex*Cats+Sex*CS+Age*Cs+cats*CS |
13 |
4774.06 |
5.79 |
0.01 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+CS+Age*CS+Cats*CS |
11 |
4774.10 |
5.82 |
0.01 |
Sex+Age+Age2+Cats+Sex*Cats+Age*Cats |
10 |
4774.27 |
5.99 |
0.01 |
Notes: 2048 models form the full set of models performed. 43 models (2.09%) were selected within Delta AICc < 6.0 CS is colony size (i.e., the number of breeding pairs in a given breeding site). Cats are the number of cats at breeding sites the year when swallows were one year old.
Table A2. Estimated variance of random terms of mixed-effects models performed without covariates for the probability to survive of barn swallows from Denmark.
Number of observations: 3999 taken from 2915 individuals from 39 sites during 20 years.
Groups |
Name |
Variance |
SD |
Individual |
Intercept |
0.28304 |
0.53202 |
Breeding site |
Intercept |
0.14017 |
0.37439 |
Year |
Intercept |
0.12056 |
0.34721 |