model{ ##noninformative priors alphaS~dunif(0,20) betaS1~dunif(-10,10) beta1~dunif(-20,20) beta2~dunif(-20,20) beta3~dunif(-20,20) alpha~dunif(-20,20) gamma~dunif(0,5) r~dunif(0,5) rout<-log(r) for (j in 1:nsites){ log(sigma[j])<-alphaS+betaS1*chap[j] #detection parameter for(k in 1:nG){ log(p[k,j])<- -xg[k]*xg[k]/(2*sigma[j]*sigma[j]) f[k,j]<- p[k,j]*pi[k] fc[k,j]<- f[k,j]/pcap[j] fct[k,j]<-fc[k,j]/sum(fc[1:nG,j]) } pcap[j]<-sum(f[1:nG,j]) # overall detection probability ### Abundance model for Yr1, as in Sillett et al 2012 log(lambda[j,1])<- alpha +beta1*chap[j] + beta2*chap2[j] +beta3*elev[j] y[j,1]~ dbin(pcap[j],N[j,1]) N[j,1]~ dnegbin(prob[j,1], r) prob[j,1]<- r/(r+lambda[j,1]) for (t in 2:T){ N[j,t]~ dpois(N[j, t-1]*gamma) y[j,t]~ dbin(pcap[j],N[j,t]) } } ### all years' worth of data in one long vector for(i in 1:nind){ dclass[i] ~ dcat(fct[1:nG,site[i]]) } }