Ecological Archives E096-001-A1

Ecological Archives E096-001-A2

Charles B. Yackulic, James D. Nichols, Janice Reid, and Ricky Der. 2015. To predict the niche, model colonization and extinction. Ecology 96:16–23. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/14-1361.1

Appendix B. Model selection results for Eurasian Collared Dove and House Finch case studies.

In each table, the first column refers to the step in which the model was introduced (see Methods), the next four columns refer to model structure, and the last three columns report the relative performance and complexity of the models. Within the tables, "constant" means that only an intercept was estimated for that model component, "HII" indicates that the human influence index was included as a covariate, "AL" indicates that an autologistic covariate was included, "stop" means that detection was allowed to vary among the five stops at each site (detection probability was thought to be influenced by time of day), and year means that detection was allowed to vary between each year.

Eurasian Collared Dove in Florida

Step	Initial occupancy	Colonization	Extinction	Detection	ΔAIC	AIC	Number of parameters
4	HII	AL + HII	constant	stop	0	2998.08	11
3	constant	AL + HII	constant	stop	6.87	3004.95	10
3	constant	AL + HII	HII	stop	8.82	3006.9	11
2	constant	AL	constant	stop	17.72	3015.8	9
2	constant	AL	AL	stop	19.5	3017.58	10
3	constant	AL	HII	stop	19.71	3017.79	10
1	constant	constant	constant	stop	21.4	3019.48	8
2	constant	constant	AL	stop	23.32	3021.4	9
1	constant	constant	constant	stop + year	27.03	3025.11	25
1	constant	constant	constant	constant	1055.26	4053.34	4
1	constant	constant	constant	year	1068.06	4066.14	21

House Finch in New York

Step	Initial occupancy	Colonization	Extinction	Detection	ΔAIC	AIC	Number of parameters
3	constant	AL + HII	AL + HII	stop + year	0	8097.74	49
4	HII	AL + HII	AL + HII	stop + year	0.66	8098.4	50
3	constant	AL + HII	HII	stop + year	3.5	8101.24	48
3	constant	AL + HII	constant	stop + year	15.79	8113.53	47
3	constant	AL	HII	stop + year	32.46	8130.2	47
2	constant	AL	constant	stop + year	42.68	8140.42	46
2	constant	AL	AL	stop + year	48.13	8145.87	47
2	constant	constant	AL	stop + year	105.8	8203.54	46
1	constant	constant	constant	stop + year	113.07	8210.81	45
1	constant	constant	constant	stop	326.71	8424.45	8
1	constant	constant	constant	year	2722.92	10820.66	41
1	constant	constant	constant	constant	2878.2	10975.94	4

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