Ecological Archives A025-079-A4

Ecological Archives A025-079-A4

Nicolas Bircher, Maxime Cailleret, and Harald Bugmann. 2015. The agony of choice: different empirical mortality models lead to sharply different future forest dynamics. Ecological Applications 25:1303–1318. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/14-1462.1

Appendix D. Simulated basal area and stem numbers at Sigriswil.

Table D1. Means and [standard deviations] for simulated basal area (BA) and stem numbers (Stem) at Sigriswil for each year of inventory after harvest was conducted.

	ForClim v3.0	IM randNr	IM threshold	TRM randNr	TRM threshold	ForClim v3.0	IM randNr	IM threshold	TRM randNr	TRM threshold
	Basal area					Stem numbers
1925	33.1 [5.4]	33.1 [5.4]	33.1 [5.4]	33.1 [5.4]	33.1 [5.4]	477.7 [14.3]	477.7 [14.3]	477.7 [14.3]	477.7 [14.3]	477.7 [14.3]
1930	32.0 [8.8]	32.0 [8.8]	29.1 [5.4]	32.0 [9.6]	32.0 [9.6]	452.8 [60.5]	451.6 [62.6]	279.9 [63.2]	458.3 [71.6]	458.2 [73.9]
1935	32.0 [9.7]	32.0 [9.8]	30.3 [5.6]	32.0 [11.2]	32.0 [11.1]	433.9 [68.8]	431.8 [71.3]	273.1 [51.5]	444.3 [82.8]	445.8 [86.4]
1943	32.0 [10.8]	31.9 [11.3]	32.0 [6.3]	32.0 [13.2]	32.0 [13.4]	406.0 [80.8]	400.8 [81.0]	252.7 [43.5]	416.9 [94.6]	417.1 [99.8]
1950	29.9 [12.9]	30.0 [13.5]	29.9 [11.8]	29.9 [15.3]	30.0 [15.4]	361.9 [98.2]	363.6 [99.6]	212.8 [76.4]	355.2 [100.3]	342.1 [94.4]
1958	29.9 [13.5]	29.9 [14.6]	29.9 [13.8]	29.9 [15.8]	29.9 [15.7]	335.9 [94.9]	340.2 [102.2]	195.0 [84.8]	313.5 [88.7]	301.5 [82.2]
1967	30.8 [13.4]	30.8 [14.8]	30.8 [15.5]	30.8 [15.7]	30.8 [15.4]	324.9 [96.7]	332.0 [95.3]	192.1 [86.1]	302.9 [95.2]	286.6 [86.3]
1977	28.8 [14.7]	28.8 [16.4]	28.8 [18.6]	28.7 [16.9]	28.7 [17.0]	303.6 [109.7]	317.9 [108.2]	188.6 [103.5]	285.3 [136.3]	267.7 [115.6]
1987	28.7 [14.8]	28.7 [17.0]	28.8 [19.9]	28.7 [17.0]	28.7 [17.3]	295.1 [118.3]	318.4 [125.7]	200.3 [118.9]	300.6 [165.9]	287.8 [163.1]
1997	26.7 [15.9]	26.7 [17.7]	26.8 [21.3]	26.7 [17.7]	26.6 [18.3]	283.4 [133.0]	309.4 [149.4]	208.1 [149.7]	300.1 [196.8]	281.1 [205.5]

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