Ecological Archives A025-031-A3

Ecological Archives A025-031-A3

Paul S. Maxwell, Kylie A. Pitt, Andrew D. Olds, David Rissik, and Rod M. Connolly. 2015. Identifying habitats at risk: simple models can reveal complex ecosystem dynamics. Ecological Applications 25:573–587. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/14-0395.1

Appendix C. Model validation comparing the status (presence or absence) of Zostera muelleri at each of the case study locations predicted by the model with past seagrass distribution maps for Moreton Bay.

Table C1. Model validation comparing the status (presence or absence) of Zostera muelleri at each of the case study locations predicted by the model with past seagrass distribution maps for Moreton Bay.

	*Status of Zostera muelleri* at each site based on four previous maps**				Map for model validation	Model prediction
Case study #	1975¹	1987²	1998³	2004³	2011⁴	2011
1	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present
2	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present
3	Absent	Absent	Absent	Absent	Absent	Bistable
4		Present	Absent	Absent	Present	Bistable
5	-	Absent	Absent	Absent	Absent	Bistable
6	-	Absent	Absent	Absent	Absent	Absent
7	-	Present	Present	Present	Present	Bistable
8	-	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present
9	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present	Bistable
10	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present
11	-	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present
12	Absent	Present	Present	Absent	Absent	Bistable
13	-	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present
14	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present
15	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present
16	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present
17	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present
18	-	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present
19	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present
20	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present
21	-	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present
22	-	Absent	Absent	Absent	Absent	Bistable
23	Present	Present	Present	Present	Present	Bistable

(Young and Kirkman 1975, Hyland et al. 1989, Dennison and Abal 1999, Roelfsema et al. 2009, Roelfsema et al. 2013)

Dennison, W., and E. Abal. 1999. Moreton Bay Study: A scientific basis for the healthy waterways campaign. South East Qld Regional Water Quality Management Strategy Team

Hyland, S. J., A. J. Courtney, and C. T. Butler. 1989. Distribution of seagrass in the Moreton region from Coolangatta to Noosa. Information series Department of Primary Industries(Queensland) 1989

Roelfsema, C., E. M. Kovacs, M. I. Saunders, S. Phinn, M. Lyons, and P. Maxwell. 2013. Challenges of remote sensing for quantifying changes in large complex seagrass environments. . Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 133:161–171

Roelfsema, C. M., S. R. Phinn, N. Udy, and P. Maxwell. 2009. An integrated field and remote sensing approach for mapping seagrass cover, Moreton Bay, Australia. Journal of Spatial Science 54:45–62

Young, P. C., and H. Kirkman. 1975. The seagrass communities of Moreton Bay, Queensland. Aquatic Botany 1:191–202

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