*Ecological Archives* E096-070-A1

Sophie Veran, Stephen J. Simpson, Gregory A. Sword, Edward Deveson, Sylvain Piry, James E. Hines, and Karine Berthier. 2015. Modeling spatiotemporal dynamics of outbreaking species: influence of environment and migration in a locust. *Ecology* 96:737–748. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/14-0183.1

Appendix A (fig. A1). Model estimates of, ^{0,1}, the probability of detecting locust at low density (the probability of misclassifying a cell as absent of locust when the true state is low density) from the model with an annual variation.