Ecological Archives E087-039-A1

Elsa E. Cleland, Halton A. Peters, Harold A. Mooney, and Christopher B. Field. 2006. Gastropod herbivory in response to elevated CO2 and N addition impacts plant community composition. Ecology 87:686–694.

Appendix A. Supplementary information regarding statistical analyses and outputs.

Germination

The statistical model was coded in SAS v. 9.1 using the PROC GLIMMIX procedure. This procedure uses generalized linear mixed models and allows for non-normal distributions. In this case seedlings either germinated or did not germinate, resulting in a binomial distribution of the errors associated with proportion of seedlings that germinated. The following model tests for the significance of positive events (germination) given the potential number of trials (seeds planted), and accounts for the split-split-plot nature of the experiment. The resulting table of F tests, numerator and denominator degrees or freedom, and P values is below, and is followed by the least squared means and standard errors of significant terms.

proc glimmix data=germination;

 class  co2 plot n species;

 model germinated/seeds planted = co2 n n*co2 species species*co2 

                 n*species n*species*co2 ;

 random int species n /subject=plot(co2);

 run;

Type III Tests of Fixed Effects

Effect
Num df
Den df
F value
Pr > F
         
CO2 1 14 0.20 0.6649
N 1 14 0.00 0.9529
CO2 × N 1 14 0.41 0.5342
Species 5 70 54.83 <0.0001
CO2 × species 5 70 0.70 0.6276
N × species 5 70 1.52 0.1956
CO2 × N × species 5 70 0.53 0.7555

 

Least Squares Means

 

Standard

Species

Estimate

Error

df

t value

Pr > |t|

 

Avena

1.9656

0.2374

70

8.28

<.0001

Bromus

2.4439

0.2619

70

9.33

<.0001

Epilobium

1.2008

0.2181

70

5.51

<.0001

Hemizonia

-0.8446

0.197

70

-4.29

<.0001

Lotus

-1.5711

0.2256

70

-6.96

<.0001

Vicia

0.07203

0.194

70

0.37

0.7116

 

TABLE A1.  The following details the number of seeds of each species that were planted and subsequently germinated. Transplanted seedlings were added to plots with poor germination to make the availability of seedlings for herbivory even within and among plots and treatments. The sum of germinated and transplanted seedlings represents the total seedlings subsequently available for herbivory.

 

functional group

# seeds planted

# germinated

# transplants

Total seedlings

A. barbata

grass

384

334

16

350

B. hordeaceus

grass

384

349

18

367

E. brachycarpum

forb

384

289

70

359

H. congesta

forb

768

246

46

292

L. purshianus

legume

384

71

14

85

V. sativa

legume

768

401

86

487

Total

 

3072

1690

250

1940

Herbivore consumption

While the germination analysis was based on the likelihood of 12 or 24 seeds germinating in each plot (both grids), the herbivory analysis was based on the likelihood that the seedlings in each grid would be consumed. The number of seedlings of each species in each grid was small – ranging between 1 and 12. In addition, frequently all or none of the seedlings of a particular species were consumed in a grid. The small sample size and severely non-normal data resulted in a lack of convergence in the algorithms used in PROC GLIMMIX. Instead, PROC CATMOD was utilized. The zero consumption of Avena barbata under elevated CO2 and elevated CO2 + N does not allow an effect to be tested for the CO2*species or N*species terms, resulting in poor model fit (highly nonsignificant Likelihood ratio). Hence the saturated model was reduced to the following sparse model:

proc catmod data=herbivory order=data;

weight count;

model eat = species co2 n co2*n co2*n*species/ zero=sampling;

by open_exclosure;

run;

Chi-squared tests, degrees of freedom, P values and least squared means for the significant terms are displayed below.  Note that data for this analysis come from grids open to herbivory during the time period of Nov. 25th to Dec. 13th, 2001.

Maximum Likelihood Analysis of Variance

Source

df

Chi-Square

Pr > ChiSq

       

Intercept

1

199.28

<.0001

Species

5

84.37

<.0001

CO2

1

0.14

0.7117

N

1

0.33

0.5669

CO2*N

1

3.93

0.0475

Species*CO2*N

5

10.28

0.0676

       

Likelihood Ratio

10

23.06

0.0105

 Note: Least squared means estimates were obtained using the PROC GLIMMIX statements.

 

Species Least Squares Means

   

Standard

     

Species

Estimate

Error

df

t value

Pr > |t|

           

Avena

-4.4363

1.279

64

-3.47

0.0009

Bromus

-3.3397

0.9314

64

-3.59

0.0007

Epilobium

-2.5287

0.3633

64

-6.96

<.0001

Hemizonia

-0.5902

0.2802

64

-2.11

0.0391

Lotus

-1.9732

1.3168

64

-1.5

0.1389

Vicia

-1.1969

0.2313

64

-5.17

<.0001

 

CO2*N Least Squares Means

     

Standard

     

CO2

N

Estimate

Error

df

t value

Pr > |t|

             

1

1

-1.6746

0.2758

14

-6.07

<.0001

1

2

-2.3678

0.8677

14

-2.73

0.0163

2

1

-3.2131

0.8764

14

-3.67

0.0025

2

2

-2.1213

0.6339

14

-3.35

0.0048

 

CO2*N*Species Least Squares Means

       

Standard

     

Species

CO2

N

Estimate

Error

df

t value

Pr > |t|

               

Avena

1

1

-2.6326

0.639

56

-4.12

0.0001

Bromus

1

1

-3.0293

0.7524

56

-4.03

0.0002

Epilobium

1

1

-1.6722

0.4856

56

-3.44

0.0011

Hemizonia

1

1

-0.6824

0.5156

56

-1.32

0.1911

Lotus

1

1

-0.8863

0.8931

56

-0.99

0.3253

Vicia

1

1

-1.1447

0.3985

56

-2.87

0.0057

Avena

1

2

-2.6078

0.6414

56

-4.07

0.0002

Bromus

1

2

-2.4104

0.5773

56

-4.18

0.0001

Epilobium

1

2

-2.3445

0.5779

56

-4.06

0.0002

Hemizonia

1

2

-0.459

0.4495

56

-1.02

0.3116

Lotus

1

2

-4.8148

5.032

56

-0.96

0.3428

Vicia

1

2

-1.5705

0.4447

56

-3.53

0.0008

Avena

2

1

-6.289

3.5469

56

-1.77

0.0817

Bromus

2

1

-6.3688

3.547

56

-1.8

0.078

Epilobium

2

1

-3.8738

1.0169

56

-3.81

0.0003

Hemizonia

2

1

-0.2409

0.5044

56

-0.48

0.6348

Lotus

2

1

-1.2056

0.8486

56

-1.42

0.161

Vicia

2

1

-1.3003

0.4126

56

-3.15

0.0026

Avena

2

2

-6.2158

3.5471

56

-1.75

0.0852

Bromus

2

2

-1.5504

0.4555

56

-3.4

0.0012

Epilobium

2

2

-2.2243

0.5438

56

-4.09

0.0001

Hemizonia

2

2

-0.9786

0.5442

56

-1.8

0.0775

Lotus

2

2

-0.9862

0.7963

56

-1.24

0.2207

Vicia

2

2

-0.7722

0.3694

56

-2.09

0.0411

Percent Nitrogen

Percent N was measured only on seedlings harvested within the herbivore exclosures. %N was log transformed to improve normality and was analyzed using the PROC MIXED procedure, again accounting for the split-split-plot design with the following code:

proc mixed data=percentnitrogen;

  class  co2 plot n species;

  model logpercn=co2

                 n n*co2

                 species species*co2

                 n*species n*species*co2/ solution;

 random int species n /subject=plot(co2);

 run;

Type III Tests of Fixed Effects

 

Num

Den

   

Effect

df

df

F value

Pr > F

         

CO2

1

14

0.81

0.3826

N

1

14

40.09

<.0001

CO2*N

1

14

0.38

0.5453

species

5

69

70.45

<.0001

CO2*species

5

69

0.54

0.7418

N*species

5

62

2.44

0.0443

CO2*N*species

5

62

1.28

0.2839

 

Least Squares Means

       

Standard

     

Effect    

Species     

N

Estimate

Error    

 df

t value

Pr> |t|

               

species

Avena

 

0.968

0.04236

69

22.85

<.0001

species

Bromus

 

0.9946

0.04385

69

22.69

<.0001

species

Epilobium

 

0.8825

0.0431

69

20.47

<.0001

species

Hemizonia

 

1.0094

0.04408

69

22.9

<.0001

species

Lotus

 

1.792

0.0455

69

39.39

<.0001

species

Vicia

 

1.509

0.04236

69

35.62

<.0001

N

 

1

1.0793

0.02579

14

41.86

<.0001

N

 

2

1.3058

0.02565

14

50.91

<.0001

N*species

Avena

1

0.8574

0.05973

62

14.35

<.0001

N*species

Bromus

1

0.9218

0.06182

62

14.91

<.0001

N*species

Epilobium

1

0.7738

0.06182

62

12.52

<.0001

N*species

Hemizonia

1

0.8198

0.06451

62

12.71

<.0001

N*species

Lotus

1

1.6069

0.06182

62

25.99

<.0001

N*species

Vicia

1

1.4963

0.05973

62

25.05

<.0001

N*species

Avena

2

1.0786

0.05973

62

18.06

<.0001

N*species

Bromus

2

1.0675

0.06182

62

17.27

<.0001

N*species

Epilobium

2

0.9911

0.05973

62

16.59

<.0001

N*species

Hemizonia

2

1.1991

0.05973

62

20.08

<.0001

N*species

Lotus

2

1.977

0.06645

62

29.75

<.0001

N*species

Vicia

2

1.5217

0.05973

62

25.48

<.0001

 

Growth rate

Growth rate was calculated by taking the slope of the regression line for the log seedling weights over the four harvests.  Growth rate was only calculated for the seedlings harvested within the herbivore exclosures.  The slope for each grid open to herbivory was analyzed using the same PROC MIXED statements listed in the %N analysis above.

 

 

Num

Den

   

Effect

df

df

F value

Pr > F

         

CO2

1

14

0.07

0.7913

N

1

14

14.79

0.0018

CO2*N

1

14

1.88

0.1919

species

5

67

28.81

<.0001

CO2*species

5

67

1.13

0.3514

N*species

5

56

4.08

0.0032

CO2*N*species

5

56

2.9

0.1214

 

Least Squares Means

       

Standard

     

Effect

species

N

Estimate

Error

df

t value

Pr > |t|

             

species

Avena

 

0.9297

0.05044

67

18.43

<.0001

species

Bromus

 

0.4162

0.05044

67

8.25

<.0001

species

Epilobium

 

0.3793

0.05044

67

7.52

<.0001

species

Hemizonia

0.6355

0.05186

67

12.26

<.0001

species

Lotus

 

1.1099

0.06055

67

18.33

<.0001

species

Vicia

 

0.6653

0.05044

67

13.19

<.0001

N

 

1

0.6255

0.02899

14

21.57

<.0001

N

 

2

0.7532

0.02867

14

26.27

<.0001

N*species

Avena

1

0.8339

0.05824

56

14.32

<.0001

N*species

Bromus

1

0.4012

0.05824

56

6.89

<.0001

N*species

Epilobium

1

0.3626

0.05824

56

6.22

<.0001

N*species

Hemizonia

1

0.5003

0.06303

56

7.94

<.0001

N*species

Lotus

1

0.9879

0.07574

56

13.04

<.0001

N*species

Vicia

1

0.6669

0.05824

56

11.45

<.0001

N*species

Avena

2

1.0254

0.05824

56

17.61

<.0001

N*species

Bromus

2

0.4312

0.05824

56

7.4

<.0001

N*species

Epilobium

2

0.3961

0.05824

56

6.8

<.0001

N*species

Hemizonia

2

0.7708

0.05824

56

13.23

<.0001

N*species

Lotus

2

1.232

0.07573

56

16.27

<.0001

N*species

Vicia

2

0.6636

0.05824

56

11.39

<.0001



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