Ecological Archives E087-030-A2

Mark Vellend, Kris Verheyen, Hans Jacquemyn, Annette Kolb, Hans Van Calster, George Peterken, and Martin Hermy. Year. Extinction debt of forest plants persists for more than a century following habitat fragmentation. Ecology VOL: pp-pp.

Appendix B. Logistic regression results.

TABLE B1. Coefficients from logistic regression analyses in Lincolnshire and Vlaams-Brabant. These 36 species were present in 20–80% of patches in Lincolnshire, and also present in at least some patches in Vlaams-Brabant. Analyses only using Vlaams-Brabant data were conducted for the 21 species that were also present in 20–80% of patches in Vlaams-Brabant.

   

Lincolnshire (Linc.) model

  

Vlaams-Brabant (VB) model

Abbreviation

Species

Constant

Age

Connectivity

Area

Habitat unsuitability

Log-likelihood (Linc. Model | Linc. Data)

Log-likelihood (Linc. Model | VB data)

Constant

Age

Connectivity

Area

Habitat unsuitability

Log-likelihood (VB Model | VB Data)

ajre

Ajuga reptans

-1.93

0.005

0.33

1.27

-0.60

-146.2

-122.6

  

.

.

.

.

.

.

alpe

Alliaria petiolata

0.35

0.004

0.67

0.83

-1.86

-152.7

-106.5

  

.

.

.

.

.

.

anne

Anemone nemorosa

-7.33

0.019

0.32

0.07

-0.24

-72.7

-467.9

  

-12.98

0.016

2.00

0.60

0.67

-115.0

arma

Arum maculatum

-1.12

0.007

0.72

1.42

-1.63

-158.3

-125.5

  

-10.63

0.007

2.48

0.63

-0.64

-89.6

atfi

Athyrium filix-femina

4.56

0.001

-0.01

1.71

-3.00

-106.9

-357.2

  

-4.29

0.004

1.48

2.77

-1.09

-116.1

brdi

Bryonia dioica

-2.13

0.002

0.51

1.15

-1.01

-146.0

-75.8

  

.

.

.

.

.

.

brsy

Brachypodium sylvaticum

1.85

0.003

0.24

-0.06

-1.44

-185.0

-227.6

  

.

.

.

.

.

.

casy

Carex sylvatica

-0.74

0.006

0.60

0.36

-2.09

-116.3

-117.5

  

.

.

.

.

.

.

chan

Chamerion angustifolium

4.03

-0.003

0.01

2.02

-1.61

-133.6

-228.8

  

.

.

.

.

.

.

cilu

Circaea lutetiana

-1.41

0.003

0.52

1.74

-2.11

-163.3

-132.6

  

-7.18

0.007

1.79

2.43

-1.50

-96.4

dece

Deschampsia cespitosa

-0.36

0.000

0.50

1.14

-0.77

-151.4

-142.0

  

-7.02

0.007

1.13

1.54

0.21

-129.7

drca

Dryopteris carthusiana

4.40

-0.001

0.03

1.25

-1.30

-113.6

-181.1

  

-0.75

0.006

0.54

1.66

-0.53

-121.1

drdi

Dryopteris dilatata

5.05

0.000

0.13

0.69

-1.72

-132.8

-140.1

  

-2.59

0.003

0.86

2.11

-0.61

-119.0

drfi

Dryopteris filix-mas

3.38

0.000

-0.12

0.74

-1.31

-157.6

-180.8

  

-4.88

-0.001

1.04

2.00

0.12

-147.3

fegi

Festuca gigantea

-2.61

0.002

0.53

1.05

-0.74

-186.9

-39.0

  

.

.

.

.

.

.

fiul

Filipendula ulmaria

4.04

-0.001

0.08

0.94

-1.35

-156.2

-159.1

  

-4.42

-0.005

1.59

0.39

-0.84

-136.2

geur

Geum urbanum

2.06

0.003

0.10

1.11

-1.26

-156.4

-159.5

  

-4.95

0.009

1.49

0.77

-1.09

-137.8

hehe

Hedera helix

1.64

0.003

0.21

0.31

-1.43

-186.8

-185.8

  

-8.31

0.012

2.13

1.12

-0.88

-115.9

homo

Holcus mollis

10.49

0.003

0.21

-0.18

-2.03

-117.9

-105.7

  

-6.62

0.011

1.86

-0.11

-0.73

-83.6

hyno

Hyacinthoides non-scripta

-2.99

0.010

0.34

0.11

-0.73

-142.3

-29.6

  

.

.

.

.

.

.

laco

Lapsana communis

-1.22

0.001

0.42

1.18

-0.52

-204.4

-192.4

  

-2.02

0.003

0.55

1.10

-0.26

-153.9

lope

Lonicera periclymenum

3.24

0.003

0.39

-0.01

-2.12

-115.4

-121.8

  

-6.00

0.008

1.68

0.71

-1.07

-104.4

mepe

Mercurialis perennis

-5.50

0.008

1.25

1.51

-1.75

-121.5

-52.1

  

.

.

.

.

.

.

motr

Moehringia trinervia

2.09

-0.001

0.22

1.28

-1.45

-178.0

-175.6

  

-5.56

0.005

1.23

1.49

-0.49

-132.9

poer

Potentilla erecta

-2.84

-0.002

0.83

3.90

-0.69

-71.7

-7.8

  

.

.

.

.

.

.

ptaq

Pteridium aquilinum

10.82

0.004

0.07

0.08

-1.95

-122.4

-131.0

  

.

.

.

.

.

.

rafi

Ranunculus ficaria

-1.75

0.005

0.19

0.10

-0.34

-203.7

-195.3

  

-11.34

-0.001

2.95

0.37

-1.61

-125.6

ruca

Rubus caesius

-1.03

0.004

0.42

1.15

-1.48

-149.4

-117.7

  

-2.18

0.006

0.84

1.04

-1.34

-99.0

ruid

Rubus idaeus

-1.19

0.000

0.16

0.57

-0.47

-150.7

-148.8

  

-8.93

0.002

1.53

1.31

0.38

-120.2

rusa

Rumex sanguineus

0.30

-0.001

0.37

1.82

-0.98

-192.7

-91.4

  

.

.

.

.

.

.

scau

Scrophularia auriculata

2.91

0.000

0.29

1.91

-1.38

-147.2

-60.3

  

.

.

.

.

.

.

scno

Scrophularia nodosa

-5.63

0.009

0.52

1.89

-1.05

-104.5

-498.6

  

-3.54

0.008

0.85

1.30

-0.58

-141.6

sidi

Silene dioica

-0.85

0.002

0.44

0.95

-1.46

-197.5

-49.8

  

.

.

.

.

.

.

stho

Stellaria holostea

-5.30

0.006

1.01

1.11

-1.08

-127.6

-228.4

  

-9.57

0.006

2.18

0.66

-0.64

-137.8

stsy

Stachys sylvatica

1.87

0.002

0.33

1.52

-1.10

-143.2

-172.5

  

-1.67

0.006

1.15

0.42

-1.05

-142.5

viri

Viola riviniana

0.12

0.003

0.36

1.54

-0.88

-146.6

-156.3

  

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