Ecological Archives E086-043-A2

Peter Ward and Ransom A. Myers. 2005. Shifts in open-ocean fish communities coinciding with the commencement of commercial fishing. Ecology 86:835-847.

Appendix B. Parameter estimates and diagnostic statistics for generalized linear models used to estimate relative abundance.

 

Introduction

This appendix provides details of the generalized linear models that we used to develop the indices of abundance presented in our Ecology article. We also present estimates and statistics for models that were used to investigate the robustness of abundance indices. Appendix A describes those investigations and the data that were fitted. This Appendix includes output from models that were not presented in the Ecology article because they did not meet the criteria of having the lowest standard error that was less than one with an estimate of the fishing period coefficient that was significantly different to one. The model output was generated by SAS (version 8.0) using the GENMOD procedure.

Unlike the coefficients presented in our Ecology article and Appendix A, the estimates of the coefficient of fishing period in this appendix were not adjusted for differences in sampling between periods. Table B1 lists the adjustments that should be applied to the fishing period coefficient of each model. Adjustments were based on the ratio R of the numbers caught and modeled in each period:

                                                       (B.1)

where T is the total number of the species caught in the study region and M is the number modeled. For the hook model, for example, the ratio of the numbers of albacore tuna caught and modeled was 0.811 and the estimate of the fishery period coefficient was –2.730. Therefore the change in abundance ΔA of albacore tuna was estimated to be:

                                                    (B.2)

We applied a ratio of one to estimates where no species were caught in a period, e.g., pelagic stingray (Dasyatis violacea) and pomfrets (Bramidae).

TABLE B1. The numbers of each species caught and modeled. We used the ratio of the numbers caught and modeled in each period (Eq. B.2) to adjust the estimate of each fishery coefficient, which are presented in our Ecology article and Appendix A.

Common name

Model

No. caught

No. modeled

Ratio

 

 

1950s

1990s

1950s

1990s

 

Albacore tuna

Hook

 323

 31

 262

 31

0.8111

Bigeye tuna

Hook

 694

2 975

 599

2 573

0.9980

Blue marlin

Hook

 325

 459

 234

 421

0.7850

Blue shark

Hook

 696

1 081

 618

 942

1.0190

Mako sharks

Hook

 51

 72

 37

 65

0.8036

Oceanic whitetip shark

hook

1 149

 794

1 031

 713

0.9992

Sailfish

hook

 25

 31

 16

 26

0.7631

Shortbill spearfish

hook

 15

 55

 15

 51

1.0784

Silky shark

hook

2 210

1 080

1 872

 972

0.9412

Skipjack tuna

hook

 438

1 668

 311

1 570

0.7544

Striped marlin

hook

 55

 215

 47

 179

1.0264

Thresher sharks

hook

 112

 511

 108

 468

1.0529

Yellowfin tuna

hook

10 636

10 625

6 284

9 739

0.6446

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Albacore tuna

hook (<200m)

 323

 31

 262

 16

1.5716

Bigeye tuna

hook (<200m)

 694

2 975

 599

1 086

2.3644

Blue marlin

hook (<200m)

 325

 459

 234

 280

1.1803

Blue shark

hook (<200m)

 696

1 081

 618

 496

1.9352

Mako sharks

hook (<200m)

 51

 72

 37

 41

1.2740

Oceanic whitetip shark

hook (<200m)

1 149

 794

1 031

 485

1.4690

Sailfish

hook (<200m)

 25

 31

 16

 14

1.4171

Shortbill spearfish

hook (<200m)

 15

 55

 15

 40

1.3750

Silky shark

hook (<200m)

2 210

1 080

1 872

 656

1.3945

Skipjack tuna

hook (<200m)

 438

1 668

 311

1 056

1.1215

Striped marlin

hook (<200m)

 55

 215

 47

 117

1.5703

Thresher sharks

hook (<200m)

 112

 511

 82

 209

1.7901

Yellowfin tuna

hook (<200m)

10 636

10 625

6 282

5 121

1.2254

Albacore tuna

hook (<200m)

 323

 31

 262

 16

1.5716

Bigeye tuna

hook (<200m)

 694

2 975

 599

1 086

2.3644

Blue marlin

hook (<200m)

 325

 459

 234

 280

1.1803

Blue shark

hook (<200m)

 696

1 081

 618

 496

1.9352

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Albacore tuna

offset

 323

 31

 319

 31

0.9876

Bigeye tuna

offset

 694

2 975

 669

2 737

1.0478

Black marlin

offset

 38

 2

 32

 1

1.6842

Blue marlin

offset

 325

 459

 308

 451

0.9645

Blue shark

offset

 696

1 081

 679

 981

1.0750

Broadbill swordfish

offset

 11

 159

 11

 152

1.0461

Great barracuda

offset

 19

 97

 16

 93

0.8783

Longnosed lancetfish

offset

 100

1 699

 91

1 618

0.9556

Mahi mahi

offset

 53

 190

 42

 177

0.8507

Mako sharks

offset

 51

 72

 42

 69

0.8593

Oceanic whitetip shark

offset

1 149

 794

1 133

 761

1.0288

Sailfish

offset

 25

 31

 21

 28

0.9300

Shortbill spearfish

offset

 15

 55

 15

 52

1.0577

Silky shark

offset

2 210

1 080

2 167

1 036

1.0222

Skipjack tuna

offset

 438

1 668

 422

1 631

0.9853

Striped marlin

offset

 55

 215

 51

 183

1.0894

Thresher sharks

offset

 112

 511

 108

 468

1.0529

Wahoo

offset

 100

 683

 99

 646

1.0467

Yellowfin tuna

offset

10 636

10 625

10 044

10 262

0.9777

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Albacore tuna

operation

 323

 31

 319

 31

0.9876

Bigeye tuna

operation

 694

2 975

 669