Appendix A. Estimates of recapture probabilities calculated with SURGE.
The estimated recapture probabilities (probability of observation given an individual is alive) for each 3-d time period (time period one starts on 15 January) estimated using the program SURGE. The recapture estimates came from a model with constant survival assumed (Model B).
Time period
Recapture probability
SE
1
0.1473
0.5593
2
0
0
3
0.0449
0.3119
4
0.1022
0.3995
5
0
0
6
0.1082
.4234
7
0.0595
0.3355
8
0.1347
0.5200
9
0.3023
0.4231
10
0.3589
0.1954
11
0.1872
0.1501
12
0.3450
0.2247
13
0.1604
0.1649
14
0.1045
0.1369
15
0.1395
0.1752
16
0.0275
0.7819
17
0.0025
0.2494
18
0.0052
0.3715
19
0
0
20
0.2344
0.3794