Ecological Archives A025-079-A7

Nicolas Bircher, Maxime Cailleret, and Harald Bugmann. 2015. The agony of choice: different empirical mortality models lead to sharply different future forest dynamics. Ecological Applications 25:13031318.

Appendix G. Climate factors in ForClim long-term simulations.


Fig. G1. Climatic factors in ForClim long-term simulations for different climate scenarios (current climate, RCP3PD, A1B). Included are the annual averages of degree day sum, drought index and winter temperatures (left panels). For the degree day and soil moisture growth factors, changes in percent compared to the current climate are shown. Additionally, the probability to reach an average winter temperature above .1°C (establishment threshold for Norway spruce) for the three applied climate scenarios is shown (lower right panel).

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