Ecological Archives A025-031-A3

Paul S. Maxwell, Kylie A. Pitt, Andrew D. Olds, David Rissik, and Rod M. Connolly. 2015. Identifying habitats at risk: simple models can reveal complex ecosystem dynamics. Ecological Applications 25:573587. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/14-0395.1

Appendix C. Model validation comparing the status (presence or absence) of Zostera muelleri at each of the case study locations predicted by the model with past seagrass distribution maps for Moreton Bay.

Table C1. Model validation comparing the status (presence or absence) of Zostera muelleri at each of the case study locations predicted by the model with past seagrass distribution maps for Moreton Bay.

 

Status of Zostera muelleri at each site based on four previous maps

Map for model validation

Model prediction

Case study #

19751

19872

19983

20043

20114

2011

1

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

2

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

3

Absent

Absent

Absent

Absent

Absent

Bistable

4

  •  

Present

Absent

Absent

Present

Bistable

5

-

Absent

Absent

Absent

Absent

Bistable

6

-

Absent

Absent

Absent

Absent

Absent

7

-

Present

Present

Present

Present

Bistable

8

-

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

9

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

Bistable

10

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

11

-

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

12

Absent

Present

Present

Absent

Absent

Bistable

13

-

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

14

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

15

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

16

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

17

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

18

-

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

19

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

20

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

21

-

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

22

-

Absent

Absent

Absent

Absent

Bistable

23

Present

Present

Present

Present

Present

Bistable

(Young and Kirkman 1975, Hyland et al. 1989, Dennison and Abal 1999, Roelfsema et al. 2009, Roelfsema et al. 2013)

Dennison, W., and E. Abal. 1999. Moreton Bay Study: A scientific basis for the healthy waterways campaign. South East Qld Regional Water Quality Management Strategy Team

Hyland, S. J., A. J. Courtney, and C. T. Butler. 1989. Distribution of seagrass in the Moreton region from Coolangatta to Noosa. Information series Department of Primary Industries(Queensland) 1989

Roelfsema, C., E. M. Kovacs, M. I. Saunders, S. Phinn, M. Lyons, and P. Maxwell. 2013. Challenges of remote sensing for quantifying changes in large complex seagrass environments. . Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 133:161–171

Roelfsema, C. M., S. R. Phinn, N. Udy, and P. Maxwell. 2009. An integrated field and remote sensing approach for mapping seagrass cover, Moreton Bay, Australia. Journal of Spatial Science 54:45–62

Young, P. C., and H. Kirkman. 1975. The seagrass communities of Moreton Bay, Queensland. Aquatic Botany 1:191–202


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