Appendix E. Error bounds for response variables.
TABLE E1. Mean values and 95% percentiles (in parentheses) based on the last 25 years of 100 100-year runs for the response variables shown in Fig. 4 of the main text (total wildebeest, human, and livestock populations, wildebeest offtake, proportion burned, and tree density) as a function of rainfall and antipoaching.
| Antipoaching | Rainfall |
Wildebeest |
Humans |
Livestock |
Wildebeest |
Proportion |
Tree density |
Strong |
Mean |
1.12 (0.75–1.51) |
2.50 (1.82–3.20) |
4.38 (1.43–7.22) |
4.52 (1.53–9.09) |
0.31 (0.09–0.50) |
390 (330–450) |
Strong |
Dry |
0.92 (0.63–1.27) |
2.14 (1.55–2.76) |
4.32 (1.21–7.50) |
3.33 (0.98–6.66) |
0.31 (0.11–0.50) |
390 (350–440) |
Strong |
Wet |
1.35 (0.99–1.71) |
3.17 (2.69–3.71) |
3.96 (1.98–6.01) |
6.29 (2.72–11.69) |
0.29 (0.12–0.46) |
450 (400–500) |
Weak |
Mean |
0.90 (0.57–1.26) |
2.44 (1.77–3.10) |
4.28 (1.32–7.08) |
5.95 (1.73–12.63) |
0.40 (0.13–0.58) |
320 (270–370) |
Weak |
Dry |
0.77 (0.53–1.04) |
2.17 (1.60–2.81) |
4.17 (1.24–7.31) |
4.59 (1.33–9.53) |
0.38 (0.16–0.57) |
320 (280–360) |
Weak |
Wet |
1.06 (0.74–1.40) |
3.15 (2.64–3.67) |
3.91 (2.03–5.93) |
8.52 (3.36–16.45) |
0.40 (0.17–0.57) |
340 (290–390) |